The truce between Israel and Hamas, brokered by Qatar and the United States, was an important event not only for the Middle East, but also for global geopolitics.
As noted analyst Igor Tyshkevich, the cessation of hostilities and the restoration of stability in the region pose serious obstacles for Russiawhich is accustomed to using instability to its advantage.
The truce between Israel and Hamas has provided an opportunity to resume the global transport project IMEC, where Israeli ports play a key role in connecting the Middle East and Europe.
This weakens Russia's influence, reducing the importance of its North-South corridor. and limiting its impact on international logistics and the economy.
Russia has always perceived the Middle East as a zone of its influence. However, peace initiatives such as the IMEC (India-Middle East-Europe) and IDR (Iraq-Turkey Corridor) economic corridors not only disrupt Moscow's plans, but also threaten its economic position.
IMEC and IDR projects: new routes of world trade
What is IMEC?
IMEC (India-Middle East-Europe Corridor) is an ambitious project proposed at the G20 summit in 2023. The main goal is to connect Indian ports with Middle Eastern railways and further with Israeli ports for shipping goods to Europe.
$20 billion has been allocated for the implementation of the first stage, and the participation of countries such as the US, EU, India, France and Saudi Arabia indicates its strategic importance.
What is IDR?
IDR (Iraq Development Road) is a Turkish initiative that involves the construction of 1,200 km of railways through Iraq, the UAE and Jordan. Despite initial difficulties, including instability in Syria, Tรผrkiye has successfully increased its influence, becoming a key transit link between the Middle East and Europe.
Israel's role in economic corridors
The implementation of IMEC is directly related to Israel, whose ports will become a critical link in the logistics chain. This strengthens the countryโs position as a technological and transport hub, which benefits not only Israel, but also its partners.
At the same time, Russia is losing leverage in the Middle East. Its attempts to block the development of projects by supporting Hamas and destabilizing the region have failed.
Why is this important for Russia?
Russia has been actively promoting its North-South transport corridor connecting India to Europe through Iran and Russia. However, the implementation of IMEC and IDR threatens these plans.
Main problems for Russia:
- Declining importance of the North-South corridor: India, interested in stable and safe routes, is switching to new projects.
- Loss of influence in the region: The rise of Turkey, Israel and Saudi Arabia leaves the Kremlin isolated.
- Economic losses: Russia's trade turnover with India is less than 5% of total Indian imports, which makes projects through the Russian Federation unprofitable.
Impact on Ukraine
Ukraine can benefit from new transport corridors by offering itself as a transit hub.
| Project | Opportunities for Ukraine | Advantages |
|---|---|---|
| IMEC | Connection with ports of Greece and Italy | Growth of exports and technology |
| IDR | Use of Black Sea ports | Expansion of transport infrastructure |
Peace and competition: what's next?
2025 could be a key year in the race to implement logistics projects. Tรผrkiye and India are already actively strengthening their positions. Israel, despite all the difficulties, continues to demonstrate resilience and readiness to participate in major initiatives.
Russia risks being left with nothing, losing not only economic but also political advantages.
Conclusion
The truce in the Middle East is not just a step towards stability, but also a turning point in global geopolitics. Israel, Tรผrkiye and India are creating a new reality where Russia is losing its status as a key player.
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