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With an Iranian attack on Israel possible this week, officials in Washington and Tehran face the risk of escalation that could have serious consequences for both sides.

The United States has warned Iran, both directly and through proxies, that a retaliatory attack on Israel could cause serious damage to the Iranian government and economy. Neither side wanted that outcome, but they have no choice but to face the threat and hope that the conflict does not escalate into something more serious, reporters from The Wall Street Journal.

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When Joe Biden became president, he hoped to limit Iran’s influence by restoring the nuclear deal and forging new alliances to contain its activities. In practice, however, Washington faces an increased threat from Tehran, which is resuming its nuclear program, backing proxy groups, and supporting Russia’s actions in Ukraine.

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The administration, beginning with Biden, has warned the Iranian regime against escalating the situation, using diplomatic and military measures to prevent the worst consequences. It has also coordinated with European and Middle Eastern partners and conveyed to Iran a clear understanding that the United States does not want a large-scale war.

The U.S. sent a squadron of F-22 Raptor fighters to the region this month, and the Abraham Lincoln carrier battle group is moving from the Asia-Pacific to the Middle East and is expected there in the coming weeks, U.S. defense officials say. It remains to be seen whether the Biden administration's moves will stop the threat as planned.

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