Munich report before the conference: Trump and Putin named key threats to the world order

A few days before the start of the Munich Security Conference, analysts presented a traditional review of global risks. The document has already sparked political debates: among the main factors of instability are named Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin.

The publication appeared against the backdrop of growing nervousness in transatlantic relations and discussions about the future of the alliance system.

The authors use formulations that are rarely found in diplomatic texts.

Why Washington is at the center of criticism

Researchers remind: after 1945, it was the USA that was the main architect of international security institutions. Now, in their assessment, the White House under Trump is demonstrating a departure from its previous role.

The report states that the country that created the foundation of the post-war order is today itself contributing to its erosion.

From leader to deal player

Experts note a change in philosophy. Instead of a system of rules, norms, and long-term commitments, the world, according to their description, is increasingly moving towards the logic of trades and short-term agreements.

In other words, law is gradually giving way to bargaining.

What Europeans think

Particular attention is paid to public sentiments in Europe. In several countries, skepticism is growing regarding the ability of traditional democracies to ensure security and economic future.

In Germany, according to the data provided, Trump is called the second biggest threat to the continent — right after Putin.

The assessments were influenced by high-profile episodes of recent months, including statements around Greenland, Mexico, and Canada. Respondents also doubt that the USA under the current administration will automatically come to the defense of European partners.

Such conclusions are closely monitored in the Israeli expert community as well. The editorial team of NANews — News of Israel | Nikk.Agency regularly pays attention to how changes in the architecture of transatlantic security are reflected in the Middle East.

Crisis of trust in institutions

The authors emphasize: it is not only about politicians. Sociology shows growing disappointment among citizens of developed countries in the effectiveness of parliaments, governments, and international organizations.

This creates a foundation for new models of leadership and increases turbulence.

Who will represent the USA in Munich

The forum opens on February 13. The composition of the American delegation has not yet been finally announced.

It is only known that Trump himself will not participate.

Against this backdrop, the report itself has already become part of the political agenda of the conference, setting the tone for discussions even before the speeches begin.