“Mujahideenization” or “Polonization” or “European Israel” – important aspects of the possible future of Ukraine: analysis of possibilities

Expert and public figure Gennady Druzenko at Khvilya raises important questions about the future of Ukraine, faced with a large-scale war and harsh international confrontation. He offers several alternative scenarios for the development of Ukraine, calling them “Mujahideenization,” “Polonization,” and “European Israel.”

The paths have their pros and cons and depend on various factors: relations with the West, the internal political situation and Ukraine’s ability to transform. Each strategy is not just plans, but possible realities that depend on international support, the determination of Ukrainians and internal reforms. Let's look at each of them in more detail.

1. “Mujahideenization”: Ruthless resistance and mobilization

This scenario involves the transformation of Ukraine into a military state focused on absolute resistance. An example is Afghanistan, which for a long time waged a guerrilla war against the USSR. Here, a key role is given to radical mobilization, which requires preparedness for enormous civilian casualties, destruction of infrastructure and a complete restructuring of society on a military basis.

“Whoever lives to see victory will be sincerely surprised at how different the Ukraine that defeats Russia will be from the Ukraine for which we began to fight,” – Druzenko notes.

Features of this scenario:

• Mobilization of all resources: To resist aggression, all forces are used – both human and material.
• Waiting for a long war: In this approach, preparedness for a multi-year conflict means large-scale destruction.
• Loss of democratic values: society will be ready to temporarily restrict rights and freedoms for the sake of protecting the state.

“If we decide to continue until final victory, we must be prepared for heavy losses, complete mobilization and, possibly, the destruction of the usual way of life,” – warns Gennady Druzenko.

2. “Polonization”: Truce for Development

This scenario involves temporary concessions on territorial issues to stop the war and focus on economic development. Inspiration comes from the experience of Poland, which, with Western help, was able to strengthen its economy and government institutions.

The main features of the “Polonization” scenario:

• Strengthening the economy and attracting investment: Focus on radical restructuring of the state and legal reforms to stimulate investment.
• Creating strong public institutions: development of educational and medical systems, strengthening of defense capabilities.
• Postponement of resolution of territorial issues: renunciation of active military action and preparation for a more opportune moment to restore territorial integrity.

Thus, Druzenko suggests that Ukraine focus on development and modernization, creating a solid foundation for future independence and protection.

“If Ukraine can go through the path of radical transformation, Russia will no longer dare to commit aggression,” – Gennady Druzenko is confident.

3. “European Israel”: A Strategy for Strong Defense and Progress

The third scenario – “European Israel” – assumes that Ukraine will become a highly developed, well-armed state with a powerful economy and technological base. Like Israel, Ukraine must develop self-defense systems while maintaining close ties to the West and remaining attractive to investors.

“European Israel is a state that does not fear an aggressor because it has the power to defend its borders and respond to any threat,” – says Druzenko.

Main features:

• Powerful armed forces: like Israel, Ukraine will have to rely on modern technologies and its own developments.
• Economic sustainability: creating conditions for business and investment, development of industry and innovation.
• Maintaining international connections: close cooperation with Western allies and strengthening positions on the world stage.

This scenario involves the creation of a highly developed state that can withstand external threats and develop despite possible military challenges.

Druzenko believes that, subject to successful reform, Ukraine can become a powerful and stable country that will defend its borders and develop its economy without constant fear of external aggression.

“We can become a European Israel, which not only has a strong armed forces, but also a modern state capable of repelling an aggressor,” – emphasizes Druzenko.

Scenario comparison table

These three strategies, according to Druzenko, highlight the diversity of approaches to achieving Ukraine's independence and security. “Mujahideenization” requires tough mobilization, “Polonization” requires reforms and a focus on the economy, and “European Israel” requires the creation of a powerful, technological state, ready to respond to any threats.

This choice must be balanced, because it will determine the future of the country and its place in the world.

Conclusions:

1. Full mobilization may lead to large losses, but will strengthen Ukraine's military power.
2. The restructuring of the state and society will allow Ukraine to develop as a European country, ready for long-term peace.

Choosing one path or another will require enormous effort and sacrifice from the Ukrainian people and government, but it also opens up the possibility of a strong and independent future.

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