“Israel's long war in Gaza and Lebanon is strengthening radical sentiments in the Muslim world. An alliance with the Taliban for Russia could become a tool in mobilizing such sentiments.”
News from Afghanistan has once again become the focus of international attention. Russia is taking steps toward forging closer ties with the Taliban, despite its controversial reputation. The situation is taking a new turn, especially in the context of Russia's war with Ukraine and tensions in the Middle East.
According to the data, a bill to exclude the Taliban from the list of banned organizations in Russia has already been registered in the State Duma and could be adopted before the end of the year. Moreover, the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, met in Kabul with Sirajuddin Haqqani, the head of the Afghan Ministry of Internal Affairs and one of the influential leaders of the Taliban.
This event could have far-reaching consequences, affecting both Ukraine and Israel.
Why did the Taliban become a key player?
The Taliban, which controls Afghanistan, is actively strengthening international ties. Its strategy includes engagement with countries such as China, Russia and Iran.
Cooperation with China
- Mining development.
- Infrastructure projects.
- Containing Uighur separatist groups, which benefits China.
Iranian factor
The Taliban turned to Iran for a corridor to send their corps to war against Israel. However, Tehran, given the complex Shiite-Sunni relations, refused.
Possible participation of the Taliban in the war against Ukraine
Russia's main interest in Afghan militants lies in their combat experience and readiness to fight. The Taliban have up to 50 thousand fighters accustomed to war. In this case:
- Afghans have little interest in the nuances of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
- For the Taliban, this can be represented as “holy war against the West“.
As analysts emphasize, Israel's long war in Gaza and Lebanon is strengthening radical sentiments in the Muslim world. An alliance with the Taliban for Russia could become a tool in mobilizing such sentiments.
Risks for Israel: a new point of tension?
Website NAnews notes:
“The influence of radical Islamist movements such as the Taliban extends far beyond Ukraine and Russia. Israel, as the symbolic opponent of radical Islam, may also be under threat.“
Israel's long military operations in Gaza have electrified the Muslim community. This is noticeable even in the actions of the Houthis in the Red Sea, who attack ships associated with the West or visiting Israeli ports.
How might this affect Israel?
- Strengthening Islamist sentiments in the region.
- The possibility of involving radical militants in conflicts in the Middle East.
- The probable participation of Kadyrov's Chechnya in coordinating actions with the Taliban, which expands the threats to Israel.
Table: main international players and their interests
| Player | Interests and activities |
|---|---|
| Russia | The use of the Taliban in the war with Ukraine. |
| Taliban | Economic cooperation, strengthening influence. |
| China | Control of Uyghur separatism, resources of Afghanistan. |
| Iran | Difficult relations with the Taliban, but support for anti-Israeli rhetoric. |
| Israel | Countering radical Islam and terrorist threats. |
What does it mean for Ukraine?
For Ukraine, the participation of the Taliban in the war with Russia may mean the emergence of an additional threat. As the site notes NAnews:
“Ukraine may face militants motivated by religious ideology, which makes them especially dangerous.“
Ukrainian experts also emphasize that a long war is radicalizing many regions, which complicates a diplomatic solution to the conflict.
Conclusion: Why it's important to keep an eye on Afghanistan
The situation with the Taliban and Russia is another example of how local conflicts can influence global politics. For Israel and Ukraine, this situation requires special attention.
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